The U.S. House of Representatives is attempting to impeach President Donald Trump. The basis behind this effort is that House Democrats believe that during a phone call with newly elected Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, Trump asked for a personal favor that would benefit him politically.
An anonymous whistleblower suggested in a letter that Trump had asked for a corruption investigation into former Vice President Joe Biden’s connections with a Ukrainian energy company called Burisma Holdings. The company employed Biden’s son, Hunter Biden. Democrats claim that President Trump withheld aid money promised to Ukraine in an attempt to force Zelensky to open an investigation.
So far, the House Committee has heard testimony from a range of witnesses, including former ambassadors, top-level diplomats, and State Department employees. Each has presented their view of what happened during the time the aid was held up, and the aftermath that followed.
However, House Republicans, who appear keen to defend the president, have claimed that none of the witnesses have any real, first-hand information. Each witness is presenting a view of what they believe happened rather than what they actually saw or heard.
Despite this, many Democrats and media outlets are convinced the assorted testimonies will present Donald Trump with major problems. Public opinion is evenly divided on whether or not the president abused his authority, and as with many political events, it is often the public perception that is most important.
What are the chances that President Trump will actually be removed from office? Well, the process for doing so makes it look highly unlikely that Trump’s will be ousted. While House Democrats appear convinced of Trump’s guilt, House Republicans do not. Eventually, the House will hold a vote on whether to formally impeach the president; as the House of Representatives is controlled by a Democrat majority, this will probably pass. Then it must be sent to the Senate where an actual trial will be held.
Based upon Senate reactions to the impeachment inquiry so far, when the Senate (acting as the jury) finally votes, it will probably find the president not guilty. The Senate is controlled by a Republican majority, and to impeach the president it would require two-thirds of all members to find him guilty.
Just because it is highly unlikely that the president will be officially impeached, this doesn’t mean that there won’t be problems arising from the actual process. The president has been receiving heavy press coverage, almost all of it negative, and this could certainly impact the number of votes he will get in the 2020 election.